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Piero Poletti
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The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy
D Cereda, M Manica, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, ...
Epidemics 37, 100528, 2021
491*2021
Spread of Zika virus in the Americas
Q Zhang, K Sun, M Chinazzi, A Pastore y Piontti, NE Dean, DP Rojas, ...
Proceedings of the national academy of sciences 114 (22), E4334-E4343, 2017
3532017
Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020
F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ...
Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020
318*2020
Association of age with likelihood of developing symptoms and critical disease among close contacts exposed to patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Italy
P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ...
JAMA network open 4 (3), e211085-e211085, 2021
274*2021
The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics
P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler
PloS one 6 (2), e16460, 2011
2292011
Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics
P Poletti, B Caprile, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, S Merler
Journal of theoretical biology 260 (1), 31-40, 2009
2072009
Impact of a nationwide lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility, Italy
G Guzzetta, F Riccardo, V Marziano, P Poletti, F Trentini, A Bella, ...
Emerging infectious diseases 27 (1), 267, 2021
166*2021
Transmission potential of chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy
P Poletti, G Messeri, M Ajelli, R Vallorani, C Rizzo, S Merler
PloS one 6 (5), e18860, 2011
1652011
Evaluation of waning of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine–induced immunity: a systematic review and meta-analysis
F Menegale, M Manica, A Zardini, G Guzzetta, V Marziano, V d'Andrea, ...
JAMA Network Open 6 (5), e2310650-e2310650, 2023
1602023
Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic
P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler
Mathematical Biosciences 238 (2), 80-89, 2012
1572012
Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020
P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, V Marziano, S Buoro, ...
Eurosurveillance 25 (31), 2001383, 2020
116*2020
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021
J Yang, V Marziano, X Deng, G Guzzetta, J Zhang, F Trentini, J Cai, ...
Nature human behaviour 5 (8), 1009-1020, 2021
113*2021
Social contact structures and time use patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe
A Melegaro, E Del Fava, P Poletti, S Merler, C Nyamukapa, J Williams, ...
PloS one 12 (1), e0170459, 2017
1062017
Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown
V Marziano, G Guzzetta, BM Rondinone, F Boccuni, F Riccardo, A Bella, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (4), e2019617118, 2021
992021
The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: an imitation-game approach
A d’Onofrio, P Manfredi, P Poletti
Journal of theoretical biology 273 (1), 63-71, 2011
922011
Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries
P Poletti, A Melegaro, M Ajelli, E Del Fava, G Guzzetta, L Faustini, ...
PloS one 8 (4), e60732, 2013
912013
The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes
A d’Onofrio, P Manfredi, P Poletti
Public Library of Science 7 (10), e45653, 2012
902012
Seroprevalence of and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in health care workers during the early COVID-19 pandemic in Italy
P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, G Guzzetta, F Trentini, V Marziano, C Toso, ...
JAMA network open 4 (7), e2115699-e2115699, 2021
812021
Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
G Guzzetta, P Poletti, M Ajelli, F Trentini, V Marziano, D Cereda, M Tirani, ...
Eurosurveillance 25 (12), 2000293, 2020
772020
Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal
P Manfredi, P Della Posta, A d’Onofrio, E Salinelli, F Centrone, C Meo, ...
Vaccine 28 (1), 98-109, 2009
762009
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